Oct
16

Capital Markets Update

By LC · Comments (0)

CBRE provides us some encouraging news, especially for multi-family financing.

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Oct
08

State Tax Revenues Fall

By LC · Comments (0)

Tax Revenues from the commercial real estate slump are starting to affect many states, according to the Business Journal article. Specifically mentioned….

The report concluded that five states

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Toro Wheaton Research has issued a detailed opinion report, detailing what could happen to commercial real estate mortgages and properties. Thanks to Randy Getz of CBRE Sacramento for sending this on.

Amador County, east of Sacramento County, apparently caught an epiphany of economic development this week. The Board of Supervisors unanimously voted to eliminate 100% of the County Facilities Fees of $7,757 and $3,300 of the $4,300 Parks and Recreation fees for all applications received from June 1, 2008 through October 31, 2008.

According to Priscella Moranga, Deputy Board Clerk, this fee holiday will be limited to the first 30 applications, and no more than two applications from any applicant will qualify for the fee reduction.

The intended purpose of the Board’s action appears to be to encourage and facilitate residential growth in this county of approximately 50,000. Applications for commercial projects will only receive a deferral for the Facilities fees; there are no Parks and Rec fees levied on commercial properties. Normally paid upon application for a building permit, they will be deferred until building completion and occupancy.

County officials said that while several other California counties had instituted fee deferral programs, Amador County is the first county in the state to eliminate fees for a specified time period.

This writer hopes that other California jurisdictions recognize the wisdom of the County of Amador’s Board of Supervisors. The fee reductions are temporary, they are limited in number and scope, and address an economy that may be in recovery. Financing both residential and commercial project should be easier with a reduced burden, and the decision may spark builders to supply needed product that could not otherwise pencil or be financed.

The CBRE Market View report for the first quarter of 2008 was for the most part a pleasant surprise. Here are some of the highlights.

  • While vacancy is still up 1.1% from 2007 at 7.2%, it began a trend downward in the first quarter.
  • The only areas in where the vacancy exceeds 7.2% are Carmichael, Greenhaven, Rancho Cordova, Natomas(North and South), and Roseville/Rocklin. The average vacancy is weighted by the leasable square footage in each submarket.
  • Notable improvements are in Elk Grove (4.3%) , Lincoln (6.1%) and Folsom (6.3%)
  • Net Absorption is up from 2007, but trending down for the first quarter which saw 275,148 square feet leased.
  • Construction is trending up from 2007 and up for the first quarter. Most of these 3.374M SF under development are large user deals, the new Elk Grove Mall, or projects to be delivered within 12-18 months. 242,000 SF was added to the GLA this past quarter.
  • ” Although the retail market has slowed over the past twelve months…the Sacramento Region is poised to weather the storm. Torto Wheaton predicts job growth at 1.7% over the next two years, and an unemployment rate of 6.2%, against the California average of 6.1%. “

    The article went on to say that the largest unemployment gains will be made in the government sector and in private educational and health services.

    LocalCenters experienced our best leasing quarter since the 1st quarter of 2007. The prospective tenant quality is improving, and while rents have certainly softened for now, they appear to be firming up in the areas where vacancy is dropping.

    More importantly, our tenant sales are improving overall. Our restaurants are doing OK to great, and all vacant restaurant space has been absorbed. Rents ultimately reflect the tenants’ ability to pay them, and the firming up is consistent with strengthening sales.

    While nearly all tenants had a rough time in Q4 2007, especially during October, this is the time when those that bite the bullet and spend the money for advertising and offer value deals pull away from those who do not, and those tenants have a much higher chance of an ultimate failure rate.

    Nationally the trend appears to be consistent with our local market. The quality retailers are reporting even to slightly higher same store sales, while the laggards are starting to fold. When this “thinning of the flock”has occurred in the past, it often serves as an indicator that we’re near a bottom and capitulation. From Associated Press:
    “I think that the desire to sell is coming off,” said Thomas J. Lee, equities analyst at JPMorgan. The fact that the market has not been shaken by recent disappointing economic data “tells me that the recession is largely discounted.”
    In addition to the congressional testimony, investors got a bit of relief from the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM said Thursday the services sector contracted only slightly in March

ripsy asks…I’m a franchisee of a top sandwich food chain who has an opportunity to build out a new store on a busy intersection. Here’s my problem…I have the option to choose between one of two centers that are being built on the intersection.

In Center 1, Ican get into an endcap not on the hard corner but on a pad 50 yards or so from the light. Visibility is excellent as is parking. It is a small sized center and is anchored by a CVS/Pharmacy store and Jack in the Box Drive thru. Occupancy is around 50% currently (with more tenants
promised)
Center two is a larger center anchored by a grocery chain as well as Starbucks, Carl’s Jr. Dental office, Bank, clothing store, etc. The problem is that my location is inline (4th in a pad of 6 spaces). Visibility is very poor, the Starbucks pad and a Carl’s Jr drive thru are in front of my pad and it cannot really be seen easily from the main street. LL has offered space on the monument sign for a fee of course. In front of the space offered there are 2 disability parking spaces. In general parking is very poor for my location.

Assuming Rent and CAM are similar for both locations…what is the optimum location for me to get into?
I know Center 1 is smaller and not anchored by a major, but I get a great location endcap on main street with great access and parking. Center 2 is much larger with more draw and daily traffic, however visibility and parking is very poor.
PLEASE HELP!

Ripsy, you’ve come to the right place and I’ve got your answer;-)

Now remember, I have a bias as I’m a strip mall developer, and we only have one anchored center. BUT, this site is about you, not I, and I think I can be objective. I like to list a rank order of preferred locations for convenience tenants, and your sandwich shop is a classic example. Here would be my choices as a tenant:

First Choice: Hard corner, endcap, anchored (assuming great exposure)
Second Choice: Hard corner, endcap, unanchored, (assuming great exposure)
Third Choice: Inline, anchored with great exposure
Fourth Choice: Inline strip mall, with great exposure
Fifth Choice: Inline anchored with marginal exposure

Sixth Choice: You were expecting inline strip mall with marginal exposure, right? Wrong. That is NOT an option. Strip malls work because of the 100% street exposure. Without an anchor to draw the customers in, poor exposure in a strip mall should be a pass for both tenant and developer.

Ripsy, you’re in a numbers game, and I don’t care how people see you as long as they DO see you. I favor big traffic numbers over small slow drive bys or walk bys, because even though you get a better kill rate with those, the numbers are often too small. If you have a traffic count of at least 30,000 cpd going by your strip mall, and I’m sure you do with Jack and CVS there, you have numbers on your side.

As Professor of Marketing at CSUS years ago, I used to tell my students that they were subjected to 40,000 impressions daily, and it was up to them as marketers to be a part of that and to stand out. Imagine the number today. Why keep your store a secret in center 2? I’m going for the proven concept, Ripsy, and that’s Center #1. Good luck and let is know what you decide.

Your comments in agreement or disagreement are welcome!

Mar
01

How to Find Strip Mall Owners

By LC · Comments (0)

Michelle Russell writes:
Hello,
I’m looking for a directory that contains strip mall, shopping center, ect and storage unit owners names and contact information. Do you know where I can find that information?

Michelle, there are a few ways to assemble some of the contact you’re seeking.

Strip Mall Owners: TOUGH, as there are so many of them in any given area. The easiest way is to designate a geographic area and ask a friendly title company rep to give you a printout of the parcel ownership. If you have a larger area, you should probably be thinking about a data provider subscription, like CoStar.

If you wish to establish yourself as a retail expert, a membership in the International Council of Shopping Centers is always a good investment for both education and contacts. The downside is that many of the members own and lease larger centers and strip malls aren’t usually the main focus. Why do you think I started localcenters.com?? ;-)

Mini-Storage Contacts:

Hands down, get in touch with the Self Storage Association. They are a very active and organized group, and most mini storage owners who have any kind of property belong to them. They have conventions and regional meet ups too. If you want to get to the smaller owners, call ‘em! Often the number on the sign will get you there. Hope this helps a little, Michelle.

Note to you entrepreneurs! Directories for Strip Malls and Mini Storage are ALWAYS Being Requested!

Jennifer asks…
Have you ever come across a strip mall landlord trying to force out the tenants in order to be able to sell the land and rebuild a Walmart type store? Can a tenant have a long term lease for say 25 years? And if so, what would be some of their tactics be?

Jennifer, the ability of the landlord to do that is totally dependent upon the lease terms. For example, if you have a 5 year lease with a 5 year option to renew and you exercise your option, you have a lease. Not only do you have a lease, but normally any buyers are “stuck with you.” Here’s the language from my lease:

35-6. Successor and Assigns. The covenants and conditions herein contained, subject to the provisions as to assignment, apply to and bind the heirs, successors, executors, administrators and assigns of the parties hereto.

Now, if I am a landlord and Wal-Mart want to make a favorable deal with me, here’s what I might do to get you to leave:

  • Attempt to default you on any permissable grounds, like being one day late on the rent. Depending upon your jurisdiction, I may or may not be successful. In California, the judge would look at my tactics as not acting in good faith. In Texas, he might very well find for the landlord.
  • Offer a buyout
  • Offer a relocation to another center for the same or better terms

You asked about a 25 year lease. Are you thinking of becoming a “spoiler” Jennifer? That would put you in a very strong position. For a strip mall, however, it’s unlikey that you’ll get a 25 year lease, more likely 5 to 10 years with some options to renew on conditions, for either term.

 

Mar
01

Strip Mall Maintenance Costs

By LC · Comments (0)

Homer from Oklahoma wrote:

What is the average cost to maintain a strip mall (each year over a five year period)? What is the typical agreement between the leasee and the leasor ( in terms of: who is responsible for what when something breaks down)? What is the average rent paid for a space in an average sized strip mall?

This is a multi-part question and harder to answer than you may think. Let’s break them down:

Average Rent: The averaged stabilized rent (after free rent and when the tenants have been operating for two eyars or so) for a strip mall depends on several factors, among which are:

  • Geographic location and market
    • Guaran-friggen-tee-ya that California is higher than Oklahoma!
  • Location within the market
    • Translates into sales potential
  • Market conditions
    • We’ve been hit hard here in Northern California, so our rents are generally stable to down from 2007. In Seattle, they’re up

    What matters more than anything else, Homer, is the sales potential. No matter where the retailer is located in the country, the margins are about the same. A sit down restaurant, for example, needs to have a rent factor about 12% of gross sales. So, depending on the average sales in the area, the stabilized rent could be between $18 and $48, with $24 a good medium market figure (but higher in California generally).

Landlord and Tenant Responsibility: This is totally dependent on the lease document. Here are some variants:

  • Absolute Net Lease: Tenant does everything including grounds maintenance. These are typically free standing, single tenant buildings.
  • Triple Net Lease, Shopping Center: This is the norm for most strip malls 30 years old or newer. The tenant pays his proportionate share of real estate taxes, common area insurance, and maintenance. The landlord takes care of the maintenance and bills the tenant back in the triple net or CAM (Common Area Maintenance) charges.
  • Modified Gross Lease: The CAM above is included in the rent, and the tenant pays the increases each year.

Average Annual Maintenance Costs: Impossible to answer without knowing the age, condition, and climate. If there’s snow removal or security, that really adds some cost. In our new strip malls we might spend $6,000 a year for the first five years, and that includes landscaping and general maintenance. In a 20 year old building we might have to start replacing air conditioning at $1,500 per ton, or $6,000 per unit, average. Add painting, roofing, parking lot maintenance and the costs which go back to the CAM can easily be four times that of a new center.

Pick Up Stix, a San Clemente,CA based chain of fast casual Asian restaurants, has shuttered 26 stores in Northern California, Nevada, and Arizona as of January 15, 2008. Apparently there was no notice given to the local employees, according to the buzz on Elk Grove, CA based Elk Grove Online (requires registration).