Author Archive
State Tax Revenues Fall
Posted by: | CommentsThe report concluded that five states
Special Report: What The Treasury Plan Means to Commercial Real Estate
Posted by: | CommentsCalifornia County Slashes Development Fees
Posted by: | CommentsAccording to Priscella Moranga, Deputy Board Clerk, this fee holiday will be limited to the first 30 applications, and no more than two applications from any applicant will qualify for the fee reduction.
The intended purpose of the Board’s action appears to be to encourage and facilitate residential growth in this county of approximately 50,000. Applications for commercial projects will only receive a deferral for the Facilities fees; there are no Parks and Rec fees levied on commercial properties. Normally paid upon application for a building permit, they will be deferred until building completion and occupancy.
County officials said that while several other California counties had instituted fee deferral programs, Amador County is the first county in the state to eliminate fees for a specified time period.
This writer hopes that other California jurisdictions recognize the wisdom of the County of Amador’s Board of Supervisors. The fee reductions are temporary, they are limited in number and scope, and address an economy that may be in recovery. Financing both residential and commercial project should be easier with a reduced burden, and the decision may spark builders to supply needed product that could not otherwise pencil or be financed.
Market Notes 3-30-08——->
Posted by: | CommentsSacramento Retail Market Report Q1-2008
Posted by: | Comments- While vacancy is still up 1.1% from 2007 at 7.2%, it began a trend downward in the first quarter.
- The only areas in where the vacancy exceeds 7.2% are Carmichael, Greenhaven, Rancho Cordova, Natomas(North and South), and Roseville/Rocklin. The average vacancy is weighted by the leasable square footage in each submarket.
- Notable improvements are in Elk Grove (4.3%) , Lincoln (6.1%) and Folsom (6.3%)
- Net Absorption is up from 2007, but trending down for the first quarter which saw 275,148 square feet leased.
- Construction is trending up from 2007 and up for the first quarter. Most of these 3.374M SF under development are large user deals, the new Elk Grove Mall, or projects to be delivered within 12-18 months. 242,000 SF was added to the GLA this past quarter.
” Although the retail market has slowed over the past twelve months…the Sacramento Region is poised to weather the storm. Torto Wheaton predicts job growth at 1.7% over the next two years, and an unemployment rate of 6.2%, against the California average of 6.1%. “
The article went on to say that the largest unemployment gains will be made in the government sector and in private educational and health services.
LocalCenters experienced our best leasing quarter since the 1st quarter of 2007. The prospective tenant quality is improving, and while rents have certainly softened for now, they appear to be firming up in the areas where vacancy is dropping.
More importantly, our tenant sales are improving overall. Our restaurants are doing OK to great, and all vacant restaurant space has been absorbed. Rents ultimately reflect the tenants’ ability to pay them, and the firming up is consistent with strengthening sales.
While nearly all tenants had a rough time in Q4 2007, especially during October, this is the time when those that bite the bullet and spend the money for advertising and offer value deals pull away from those who do not, and those tenants have a much higher chance of an ultimate failure rate.
Nationally the trend appears to be consistent with our local market. The quality retailers are reporting even to slightly higher same store sales, while the laggards are starting to fold. When this “thinning of the flock”has occurred in the past, it often serves as an indicator that we’re near a bottom and capitulation. From Associated Press:
“I think that the desire to sell is coming off,” said Thomas J. Lee, equities analyst at JPMorgan. The fact that the market has not been shaken by recent disappointing economic data “tells me that the recession is largely discounted.”
In addition to the congressional testimony, investors got a bit of relief from the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM said Thursday the services sector contracted only slightly in March
Trading Discipline–Go Hard or Go Home
Posted by: | Commentsby Eileen The Pirate
This week-end I finally got around to reading the February/March issue of Traders Monthly magazine. What caught my eye in this issue was the fourth annual Trades of the Year - kind of like the Academy Awards for active traders/investors.
The Trade of the Year was John Paulson shorting the subprime market silly, shorting CDOs and eventually generating 3 billion in revenue. John Paulson’s Credit Opportunities LP Fund returned 590% in 2007. Read More→
EGO Investment Club Recommended Reading
Posted by: | CommentsThere’s little doubt that for the forseeable future we’ll be making most of our money in internationals and commodities in some form. My personal portfolio which has increased in value between 28% and 46% annually since 2003 is nearly 2/3rds internationals and commodities in the form of hard commodities or oil/energy/metals stocks, and gold miners.
You need to have the first three at a minimum, in my opinion. That’s less than $40 total as you will pay no sales tax and get free shipping. Order as many as you can afford as they are all considered top notch reads and you WILL pay for them with better investments. If you’re really tight, skip #2 and get #1 and #3. #2 Adventure Capitalist is both a travelogue, a commodity and international stock investment guide, and a read that will give you the midset you need to find the great deals. #2 Hot Commodities is more investment specific and a little more timely. Cramer’s #1 Real Money is a must own as you’ll refer to it time and time again.
I’ve ranked the first few in my order of choice. Select the others based on your interests.
Anchored vs. Strip Mall, Which is Better?
Posted by: | CommentsIn Center 1, Ican get into an endcap not on the hard corner but on a pad 50 yards or so from the light. Visibility is excellent as is parking. It is a small sized center and is anchored by a CVS/Pharmacy store and Jack in the Box Drive thru. Occupancy is around 50% currently (with more tenants
promised)
Center two is a larger center anchored by a grocery chain as well as Starbucks, Carl’s Jr. Dental office, Bank, clothing store, etc. The problem is that my location is inline (4th in a pad of 6 spaces). Visibility is very poor, the Starbucks pad and a Carl’s Jr drive thru are in front of my pad and it cannot really be seen easily from the main street. LL has offered space on the monument sign for a fee of course. In front of the space offered there are 2 disability parking spaces. In general parking is very poor for my location.
Assuming Rent and CAM are similar for both locations…what is the optimum location for me to get into?
I know Center 1 is smaller and not anchored by a major, but I get a great location endcap on main street with great access and parking. Center 2 is much larger with more draw and daily traffic, however visibility and parking is very poor.
PLEASE HELP!
Ripsy, you’ve come to the right place and I’ve got your answer;-)
Now remember, I have a bias as I’m a strip mall developer, and we only have one anchored center. BUT, this site is about you, not I, and I think I can be objective. I like to list a rank order of preferred locations for convenience tenants, and your sandwich shop is a classic example. Here would be my choices as a tenant:
First Choice: Hard corner, endcap, anchored (assuming great exposure)
Second Choice: Hard corner, endcap, unanchored, (assuming great exposure)
Third Choice: Inline, anchored with great exposure
Fourth Choice: Inline strip mall, with great exposure
Fifth Choice: Inline anchored with marginal exposure
Sixth Choice: You were expecting inline strip mall with marginal exposure, right? Wrong. That is NOT an option. Strip malls work because of the 100% street exposure. Without an anchor to draw the customers in, poor exposure in a strip mall should be a pass for both tenant and developer.
Ripsy, you’re in a numbers game, and I don’t care how people see you as long as they DO see you. I favor big traffic numbers over small slow drive bys or walk bys, because even though you get a better kill rate with those, the numbers are often too small. If you have a traffic count of at least 30,000 cpd going by your strip mall, and I’m sure you do with Jack and CVS there, you have numbers on your side.
As Professor of Marketing at CSUS years ago, I used to tell my students that they were subjected to 40,000 impressions daily, and it was up to them as marketers to be a part of that and to stand out. Imagine the number today. Why keep your store a secret in center 2? I’m going for the proven concept, Ripsy, and that’s Center #1. Good luck and let is know what you decide.
Your comments in agreement or disagreement are welcome!
How to Find Strip Mall Owners
Posted by: | CommentsHello,
I’m looking for a directory that contains strip mall, shopping center, ect and storage unit owners names and contact information. Do you know where I can find that information?
Michelle, there are a few ways to assemble some of the contact you’re seeking.
Strip Mall Owners: TOUGH, as there are so many of them in any given area. The easiest way is to designate a geographic area and ask a friendly title company rep to give you a printout of the parcel ownership. If you have a larger area, you should probably be thinking about a data provider subscription, like CoStar.
If you wish to establish yourself as a retail expert, a membership in the International Council of Shopping Centers is always a good investment for both education and contacts. The downside is that many of the members own and lease larger centers and strip malls aren’t usually the main focus. Why do you think I started localcenters.com??
Mini-Storage Contacts:
Hands down, get in touch with the Self Storage Association. They are a very active and organized group, and most mini storage owners who have any kind of property belong to them. They have conventions and regional meet ups too. If you want to get to the smaller owners, call ‘em! Often the number on the sign will get you there. Hope this helps a little, Michelle.
Note to you entrepreneurs! Directories for Strip Malls and Mini Storage are ALWAYS Being Requested!
